Company Name: NOBLE GROUP LIMITED
Research House: OCBC
OCBC upgrades Noble Group (N21.SG) to Buy from Hold, raises target to $2.59 from $1.97; after strong 3Q10, says earnings to accelerate in FY11 as group begins to reap fruits of recent pipeline investments, earnings will remain buoyed by strong underlying fundamentals for commodities such as energy, agriculture. “The group has spent US$2.8 billion ($3.6 billion) expanding its pipeline since 2007 and several of these investments are nearing maturity, adding a further boost to earnings from 4Q10 onwards.” Notes, Noble has reaffirmed target of US$1 billion earnings over next 3 years, implying 24% CAGR FY09-FY13; house raises FY10, FY11 earnings estimates by 25%, 12% respectively. Adds “with its strong balance sheet, the group remains well-positioned to capture any investment opportunities that may arise.” Notes key risks include longer-than-expected gestation periods for investments, continued USD/SGD weakness, which could lead to translation losses. Shares +0.5% at $2.09.
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