Friday, January 28, 2011

KingsmenC - OCBC cuts Kingsmen Creatives to Hold From Buy

Stock Name: KingsmenC
Company Name: KINGSMEN CREATIVES LTD
Research House: OCBC


OCBC downgrades Kingsmen Creatives (5MZ.SG) to Hold from Buy “in view of its hazy near-term outlook.” The house cuts its fair value estimate to $0.65 from $0.82.



The house says Kingsmen has been growing exponentially since its listing, with earnings growth recording double-digit rates between 2003 and 2008; “we believe that this trend may reach a plateau in FY10-FY11, and are projecting a mild contraction in FY10 profits followed by flat earnings growth in FY11.” 



The house trims FY10 and FY11 estimates by 14% and 23%, respectively, to reflect a more cautious stance; “the group’s ambition of doubling its revenue in five years now appears stretched.” 

It cites potential headwinds as a high-base effect after record high earnings in FY09, a gap in orderbook (with the bulk of revenues from Universal Studios Singapore already recognised) and arbitration proceedings against a sub-contractor. 

However, the house adds, “beyond near-term headwinds, we remain sanguine over Kingsmen’s longer-term prospects...in addition, dividend yield is relatively attractive at around 6%.” 

Shares are untraded at $0.570.

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