Tuesday, January 11, 2011

SGX - DMG upgrades SGX to Buy, ups FY12 volume view

Stock Name: SGX
Company Name: SINGAPORE EXCHANGE LIMITED
Research House: DMG


DMG upgrades Singapore Exchange (S68.SG) to Buy from Neutral and raises its target price to $9.45 from $8.33. The house says SGX’s share price underperformed over the past year, but could outperform ahead.



The house raises its fiscal FY12 average daily turnover assumption by 8% to $1.90 billion on expectations trading volumes will rise, “given increased interest in market developments in the U.S. and EU, and on the domestic front.” 


DMG says while the STI has risen 10% on year, SGX’s share price has fallen 1.4%; “We believe SGX’s underperformance could be reversed on the back of increased market volatility.” The house assumes in its model that the merger with ASX (ASX.AU) proceeds. 

“In the event the merger cannot proceed, SGX growth prospects will be impacted and SGX should only be valued at $8.48.” The house estimates fiscal 2Q11 net profit of $86 million, +16% on quarter, driven largely by sequentially stronger securities volume. Shares are +0.6% at $8.41.

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