Monday, February 21, 2011

UOB KayHian bullish on shipyards; upgrades Keppel

Stock Name: Yangzijiang
Company Name: YANGZIJIANG SHIPBLDG HLDGS LTD
Research House: UOB KayHian

UOB KayHian says jack-up rig orders are "roaring" while containership ordering has begun. The house upgrades Keppel Corp. (BN4.SG) to Buy from Sell, raises its target to $13.00 from $9.70, and ups its O&M pre-tax margin assumptions for 2012 and 2013 by 1.5 percentage points from 13.5% to 15.0%. 

It also raises its 2011 contract win forecast (excluding Petrobras) to $7 billion from $4 billion. 
The house keeps SembCorp Marine (S51.SG) at Hold and raises its target to $4.90 from $4.60; “while our contract win assumptions for SMM have also been raised, we maintain our margin assumptions at 15.0% for 2011 and 13.0% for 2012 and 2013.” 
The house notes containership contracting (orders for new ships) is at the beginning of a cyclical upturn, well below last cycle’s peak in 2007, with the container segment expected to have the healthiest demand-supply balance in 2012/13; “among the shipyards under our coverage, we see Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (BS6.SG) as the best play on containership orders.” 
It keeps a Buy call with an unchanged $2.37 target. 

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