Tuesday, October 23, 2012

DBS trims target prices for UOB, OCBC

Stock Name: OCBC Bk
Company Name: OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORP
Research House: DBS VickersPrice Call: BUYTarget Price: 10.70

Stock Name: UOB
Company Name: UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD
Research House: DBS VickersPrice Call: HOLDTarget Price: 19.70



DBS Vickers has trimmed its earnings estimates for Singapore banks for the next two years due to a weaker economic outlook, and cut its target prices for United Overseas Bank and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp.

Shares of UOB were down 0.2% at $18.57, but have surged 21.6% since the start of the year, outperforming the benchmark Straits Times Index’s 15% gain. OCBC fell 0.1% to $9.23, but have risen 17.9% year-to-date.

The brokerage has lowered OCBC’s target price to $10.70 from $11 and UOB’s to $19.70 from $21, but prefers OCBC for its fee income from its private bank unit Bank of Singapore andinsurer Great Eastern. It maintains a ‘buy’ rating on OCBC and has a ’hold’ on UOB.

DBS Vickers expects Singapore banks to see slower loan growth due to weaker economic growth and the recent property cooling measures introduced by the government. It trimmed its 2013-2014 loan growth rate to 8% from 10% and cut its earnings estimates by 4-7% over the same period.

Pressure on net interest margins are likely to continue, with a hike in Singapore interbank offer rates unlikely until 2015, DBS said.

“Earnings momentum is likely to soften as we go into 2013. As such, we expect banks to trade range-bound and remain well supported by decent dividend yields of 3-4%,” DBS said.

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